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Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Ends · 24h vol $3.0K · liquidity $8.9K
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢
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Price Yes

Price history is unavailable for this market right now.

FROG CHECK

Spread0.2¢bid 1.7¢ / ask 1.9¢
Taker fee$4.78on $100 · culture rate 0.05 · makers $0
Maker rewardsMin 20 shquotes within 4.5¢ of mid qualify
DisputeNo proposalUMA bond $500 · reward $3.5
Liquidity$8.9K24h vol $3.0K

Cost to fill (buy Yes, walking the live ask book)

Swipe for slippage, fee, and whether the book fills.

SpendSharesAvg priceSlippageEst. taker feeBook
$1002,8333.5¢+1.63¢$4.78fills
$1,0008,44712¢+9.94¢$40.84fills
$10,00018,22955¢+52.96¢$62.45fills

Order book Yes · latest

6¢23
5¢1,050
4¢30
3.9¢19
3.8¢41
2¢1,443
1.9¢82
spread 0.2¢ · mid 1.8¢
1.7¢300
1.5¢17,334
1.4¢187
1.2¢10
1.1¢4,727
1¢3,015
0.9¢2,778

Market read

Yes is 1.8¢. No is 98.2¢. No large print for this market is in the latest refresh. How it resolves is in the rules text below, from Polymarket.

OutcomePrice
Yes1.8¢Trade on Polymarket
No98.2¢Trade on Polymarket

Both links open this event. PolyFrog does not send a separate outcome order.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 29 12:00 PM ET to October 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

UMA status: no proposal.

Related markets

Big trades here sizes only

No large prints for this market in the latest refresh.