Geopolitics markets

PolyFrog lists public Polymarket markets classified as geopolitics. Prices and volume come from Polymarket’s public data. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Market	Price	24h	24h vol	Ends
Geopolitics Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?	16¢	—	$170	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	9.6¢	+4.0¢	$170	2026-10-26
Geopolitics Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	26¢	+2.0¢	$159	2026-12-31
Geopolitics Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?	32¢	—	$145	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	53¢	-16.5¢	$111	2026-10-28
Geopolitics Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	6.2¢	+4.8¢	$96	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	26¢	-20.0¢	$94	2026-10-29
Geopolitics Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026?	6.3¢	+2.2¢	$83	2027-01-01
Geopolitics Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	71¢	+3.0¢	$79	2026-10-31
Geopolitics Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	11¢	+3.0¢	$77	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	9.6¢	-1.0¢	$75	2026-10-31
Geopolitics Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	11¢	+3.9¢	$73	2026-11-01
Geopolitics Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2027?	29¢	-5.0¢	$68	2028-01-01
Geopolitics Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?	32¢	+2.5¢	$65	2026-12-01
Geopolitics Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	32¢	—	$40	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?	57¢	+4.0¢	$36	2026-10-30
Geopolitics Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	2.3¢	+1.3¢	$31	2026-11-01
Geopolitics Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	32¢	+1.0¢	$28	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	7.2¢	+5.1¢	$24	2026-12-31
Geopolitics Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	5.9¢	+1.1¢	$21	2027-01-01
Geopolitics Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	32¢	—	$20	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18?	94.8¢	-0.4¢	$0	2026-10-19
Geopolitics Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	96.6¢	+2.4¢	$0	2026-10-28
Geopolitics Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by December 31?	49¢	—	$0	2026-12-31
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?	59¢	-14.0¢	$0	2026-11-01