Geopolitics markets

PolyFrog lists public Polymarket markets classified as geopolitics. Prices and volume come from Polymarket’s public data. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Market	Price	24h	24h vol	Ends
Geopolitics Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	64¢	+32.0¢	$865	2026-10-26
Geopolitics Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	40¢	+4.5¢	$759	2026-12-01
Geopolitics Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	36¢	—	$732	2027-04-01
Geopolitics Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?	5.6¢	-0.4¢	$584	2027-02-01
Geopolitics Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	39¢	+11.5¢	$580	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 30?	28¢	+0.5¢	$474	2026-12-01
Geopolitics U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2027?	31¢	-14.0¢	$473	2028-01-01
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	36¢	-4.5¢	$440	2026-10-26
Geopolitics Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by June 30, 2027?	4.6¢	-12.4¢	$417	2027-07-01
Geopolitics Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	24¢	-34.3¢	$345	2026-10-26
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 30, 2026?	47¢	-10.5¢	$330	2026-10-31
Geopolitics Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?	16¢	—	$328	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	36¢	-8.6¢	$318	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	25¢	-19.0¢	$315	2026-10-28
Geopolitics Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	15¢	-8.5¢	$304	2026-11-02
Geopolitics U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by June 30, 2027?	30¢	+6.5¢	$298	2027-07-01
Geopolitics Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?	17¢	—	$289	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?	16¢	+10.9¢	$280	2027-01-01
Geopolitics Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	17¢	-0.5¢	$245	2026-10-26
Geopolitics Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	84¢	-5.0¢	$242	2026-10-05
Geopolitics Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	40¢	+2.0¢	$227	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	37¢	-35.5¢	$216	2026-10-27
Geopolitics Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?	13¢	—	$199	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?	21¢	—	$180	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	6¢	+0.5¢	$175	2026-11-02