Geopolitics markets

PolyFrog lists public Polymarket markets classified as geopolitics. Prices and volume come from Polymarket’s public data. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Market	Price	24h	24h vol	Ends
Geopolitics Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	6¢	-1.0¢	$16.0K	2027-01-01
Geopolitics Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	4¢	-0.5¢	$15.7K	2027-01-01
Geopolitics Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	17¢	+4.0¢	$15.6K	2026-10-31
Geopolitics NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	16¢	—	$15.1K	2027-01-01
Geopolitics US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	3.3¢	-0.6¢	$14.6K	2026-11-01
Geopolitics US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	5.9¢	+0.3¢	$14.2K	2026-11-01
Geopolitics Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	8¢	-4.5¢	$14.0K	2027-01-01
Geopolitics Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	51¢	-6.0¢	$13.9K	2027-01-01
Geopolitics Iran leadership change by December 31?	14¢	-1.0¢	$12.7K	2027-01-01
Geopolitics Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	68¢	+1.3¢	$12.5K	2027-01-01
Geopolitics US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	13¢	—	$11.9K	2027-01-01
Geopolitics US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	19¢	+3.0¢	$10.3K	2026-11-16
Geopolitics US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	45¢	+2.5¢	$8.0K	2026-11-23
Geopolitics Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	55¢	-6.5¢	$7.9K	2027-01-01
Geopolitics US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	92.5¢	—	$5.9K	2026-11-05
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	2.8¢	-0.2¢	$4.1K	2026-10-31
Geopolitics Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	77¢	+7.0¢	$3.9K	2028-01-01
Geopolitics Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	30¢	+2.0¢	$3.2K	2026-12-01
Geopolitics Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	22¢	+9.0¢	$2.7K	2026-11-01
Geopolitics US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	63¢	+2.0¢	$2.4K	2027-04-01
Geopolitics Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	69¢	-5.5¢	$2.3K	2026-11-01
Geopolitics Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	27¢	-2.5¢	$1.2K	2026-12-31
Geopolitics Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	4.5¢	-85.0¢	$1.1K	2026-10-29
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	2.9¢	-8.6¢	$914	2026-10-25
Geopolitics Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	3.5¢	-0.9¢	$908	2026-10-31