Geopolitics markets

PolyFrog lists public Polymarket markets classified as geopolitics. Prices and volume come from Polymarket’s public data. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Market	Price	24h	24h vol	Ends
Geopolitics Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	4.6¢	+2.1¢	$166	2026-11-01
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?	45¢	-6.5¢	$160	2026-11-01
Geopolitics Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	26¢	+2.0¢	$159	2026-12-31
Geopolitics Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	45¢	+25.0¢	$154	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026?	8.3¢	-1.2¢	$154	2027-01-01
Geopolitics Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	7.5¢	+3.5¢	$139	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	7.2¢	+0.9¢	$136	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	25¢	+5.5¢	$132	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	27¢	+1.5¢	$125	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	53¢	-16.5¢	$111	2026-10-28
Geopolitics Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?	12¢	+2.1¢	$105	2027-01-01
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?	26¢	-20.0¢	$94	2026-10-29
Geopolitics Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	9.6¢	-1.0¢	$75	2026-10-31
Geopolitics Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	11¢	+3.9¢	$73	2026-11-01
Geopolitics Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 31, 2026?	71¢	+2.0¢	$71	2026-11-01
Geopolitics Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	9.5¢	-2.0¢	$70	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	7.5¢	-1.0¢	$68	2026-11-02
Geopolitics Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2027?	29¢	-5.0¢	$68	2028-01-01
Geopolitics Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	26¢	+17.9¢	$65	2026-11-09
Geopolitics Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?	32¢	+2.5¢	$65	2026-12-01
Geopolitics Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?	6.3¢	+0.3¢	$61	2027-02-01
Geopolitics Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?	57¢	+4.0¢	$36	2026-10-30
Geopolitics Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	2.3¢	+1.3¢	$31	2026-11-01
Geopolitics Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28?	95.5¢	+37.0¢	$26	2026-09-28
Geopolitics Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	5.9¢	+1.1¢	$21	2027-01-01